An analysis is a serious business. An analyst must be objective, skilled, experienced, and have sufficient reliable data. That is a tall order itself, and apart from this, there are other problems in the way of good generalisations, some current and others recurrent.
One way of knowing the broad reality is to know the long-running trends. But off-late basics have changed around the world drastically, and more so in India.
Another phenomenon that analysts cannot think about in their search for definitive answers and that leave them wanting in their readings is that reality is not coherent and neatly logical, it is rather incoherent, paradoxical, and ever-evolving.
Despite being aware of these challenges I do offer some reckoning of sustainable politics based on the readings of the masters of political science. It is about conservation first and adopting reforms as icing on the cake. If people, in general, feel secure: who are not provoked to get more or not threatened to lose what they have, they become the bedrock of sustainable politics, and those who generate non-radical faith win the hearts and minds of the people in general.
The call for violent revolutions, the classic case being 1917, notwithstanding its lofty slogans relies on exciting greed among the people to the extreme, and the greed is that they would be led to grab the riches they see others enjoying. Such mass provocation does work for some time and it does magical things during the initial gush of the excitement but soon the rapid slide takes place inevitably. The general disenchantment is sought to be controlled by the acts of mass drama and draconian measures. Nonetheless, such massive absurdity does consume generations but it goes away at the end, and as it happened in this particular case, despite everything being deployed, the myth collapsed within eight decades.
Niraj Kumar Jha
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